The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has released an important update regarding the 2025 monsoon season. The weather department has predicted above-normal rainfall across the country this year.
Monsoon 2025: This IMD prediction is positive news for farmers and citizens alike. The IMD anticipates above-average rainfall during the monsoon season, potentially alleviating water stress across various parts of the country. The predicted absence of El Niño conditions, which typically impact monsoon patterns, further enhances the expectation of improved crop yields due to favorable rainfall.
According to the IMD, rainfall during the 2025 monsoon season (June to September) could reach 105% of the long-term average of 87 centimeters, offering relief to farmers and water-stressed regions.
No El Niño Threat, Good News for the Monsoon
The weather department clarified that El Niño conditions are unlikely this year, which typically reduces monsoon rainfall. IMD head Mrityunjay Mohapatra stated that no significant weather anomalies are expected, and the season may prove positive for farmers. He indicated that rainfall from June to September will be above average, bolstering the agricultural sector.
Significant Relief for Farmers
A significant portion of India's agricultural sector relies on monsoon rainfall, and the predicted surplus will alleviate water scarcity for irrigation. The weather department's forecast brings welcome news to farmers, considering that agriculture contributes 18.2% to India's GDP and supports the livelihoods of approximately 42.3% of the Indian population.
Replenishing Reservoirs
Furthermore, increased rainfall will boost reservoir levels, crucial for drinking water and power generation. Climate scientists note that while the number of rainy days is decreasing, intense rainfall events are increasing, leading to challenges like droughts and floods.
Temperature Increase and Heatwave Threat
Currently, many parts of the country are grappling with heat and heatwaves, and the weather department predicts a higher likelihood of heatwaves between April and June. This could lead to increased temperatures and electricity demand. However, the monsoon rainfall may mitigate these issues.
When Will the Monsoon Arrive?
The monsoon typically arrives in Kerala around June 1st, spreading across the country by mid-September. A normal monsoon onset is anticipated this year, potentially improving water conditions nationwide. This IMD announcement brings relief not only to farmers but also to the general public, particularly concerning water scarcity and increasing electricity demand.
However, considering the impacts of climate change, the possibility of altered weather patterns remains, and careful water resource management is crucial.