Sheikh Hasina, the former Prime Minister of Bangladesh, is currently in self-imposed exile in India. However, her name is once again prominent in discussions surrounding the upcoming general elections in Bangladesh.
Bangladesh Elections: Bangladesh's current political landscape is at a fascinating and historic juncture. Following the fall of Sheikh Hasina's government, the country is now under an interim government led by Mohammad Yunus. For the first time in 15 years, Bangladesh is poised to hold a general election without Sheikh Hasina's presence at its helm.
Current Scenario: Provisional Power and an Uncertain Future
Sheikh Hasina's government was ousted last December amidst widespread protests. This led to the formation of an interim government headed by economist-turned-politician, Mohammad Yunus. Upon assuming power, Yunus implemented stringent measures in the name of stability, accelerating action against Hasina's supporters. The interim government's current focus is on constitutional reforms and systemic changes, rather than rushing into elections.
Can Sheikh Hasina Contest the Elections?
According to Bangladeshi election laws, there is no bar on participation if a party or leader is not banned and operates within the legal framework. Technically, Sheikh Hasina or her party, the Awami League, could contest the elections, provided there are no official bans on the party and no criminal convictions against its candidates.
However, the practical situation is different. The Yunus government has accused Hasina of responsibility for protester deaths and human rights violations. If she returns to Bangladesh, the likelihood of arrest is high. Thus, contesting the election becomes a political challenge rather than a purely legal one.
Exile in India: Strategy or Necessity?
There is speculation that even in exile, Sheikh Hasina remains politically active. She reportedly holds virtual meetings with senior Awami League leaders, strategizing and working on potential alliances. While there has been no official response from India, diplomatic circles in Delhi are closely monitoring the political developments in Dhaka.
Mohammad Yunus's interim government has indicated that the general elections may be held in late 2025 or early 2026. This timeframe offers a window of opportunity for Sheikh Hasina. If the legal cases against her are resolved or international pressure leads to concessions by then, she may stage a political comeback.
