Preparations for the Bihar Legislative Assembly elections in 2025 are in full swing. Political parties have finalized their strategies for the elections, scheduled to be held in October-November, covering all 243 assembly seats in the state. This year's elections are expected to witness a fierce contest between the Grand Alliance (Mahagathbandhan) and the NDA.
Patna: Preparations for the assembly elections in Bihar have begun with great enthusiasm. All political parties are working on their respective strategies and have entered the election campaign arena. It is estimated that these elections in Bihar will be held in the months of October-November. The main contest in this election is between the NDA alliance, comprising the BJP, JDU, LJP (Ram Vilas), Jitan Ram Manjhi, and Upendra Kushwaha's party, and the Grand Alliance (Mahagathbandhan) of RJD, Congress, and a few other parties. Additionally, Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraj Party and Owaisi's AIMIM are also active in the electoral field.
Vaishali Assembly Seat
The Vaishali Assembly seat is a prominent constituency among Bihar's 243 seats. It is one of the six assembly segments of the Vaishali parliamentary seat. The Vaishali seat is unreserved, meaning it is not reserved for any particular caste or community. The main contest on this seat is expected to be between the NDA alliance of BJP, JDU, and LJP (Ram Vilas Paswan) and the Grand Alliance of RJD, Congress, and other allied parties. Previously, this seat was considered a bhold of the Congress. However, in the last two decades, the JDU has won here five times.
Electoral Equation of Vaishali Seat
The Vaishali assembly constituency is a rural area. Its electoral equation is primarily determined on caste and religious lines.
Demographics and Voter Details
- Scheduled Caste: Approximately 20%
- Muslim Voters: Approximately 13%
- Total Voters (2020): 3,28,862
- Male: 1,76,745
- Female: 1,52,103
- Third Gender: 14
- Voting Percentage in 2020: 59.05%
- Voting Percentage in 2015: 56.27%
Past Victory-Defeat Statistics
1. 2020 Bihar Assembly Elections
- Winner: Siddharth Patel (JDU)
- Votes: 69,780 (35.96%)
- Runner-up: Sanjeev Singh (Congress) – 62,367 votes (32.14%)
- Third Place: Ajay Kumar Kushwaha (LJP) – 33,351 votes (17.18%)
Siddharth Patel won the Vaishali seat by defeating the Congress. However, the margin was only 7,413 votes, indicating a very close contest on this seat.
2. 2015 Bihar Assembly Elections
- Winner: Raj Kishore Singh (JDU) – 79,286 votes (47.62%)
- Runner-up: Vrishan Patel (HAM-S) – 48,225 votes (28.96%)
- Third Place: Vinay Paswan (Independent) – 7,975 votes (4.79%)
The JDU had a larger majority in 2015, but the contest became quite challenging in 2020.
Electoral Trends in 2025
The electoral dynamics appear to be changing this time around.
- NDA Alliance
- JDU, BJP, and Ram Vilas Paswan's LJP are the main constituents.
- The experience of past victories and the rural vote bank can be a b base for the NDA.
- Grand Alliance (Mahagathbandhan)
- RJD, Congress, and other parties will jointly challenge the NDA.
- The Scheduled Caste and Muslim vote bank could be decisive for the Grand Alliance.
- New Players and Parties
- Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraj Party
- Owaisi's AIMIM are also in the fray in some parts of Bihar.
These parties will try to leverage local issues and caste equations to challenge the main parties.
