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Indian Stock Market Poised for Flat to Higher Opening on Positive India-US Trade Talk Sentiment

Indian Stock Market Poised for Flat to Higher Opening on Positive India-US Trade Talk Sentiment

The Indian stock market may open flat to slightly higher today. Gift Nifty was at 25,094. Sentiment is positive due to India-US trade talks. IT and banking sectors' performance could push Nifty to 25,400.

Stock Market Today: The Indian stock market is expected to open with a slight gain today, Thursday (September 11, 2025). Global markets are showing mixed signals. Meanwhile, Gift Nifty Futures was trading 21 points higher at 25,094 at 8 AM. This indicates that the Nifty50 index may open flat to marginally higher.

Initial Trend of Gift Nifty

Gift Nifty (Gift Nifty Futures) was at 25,094 in the morning session, which is 21 points above Wednesday's closing. This directly suggests that the initial trading in the domestic equity market could be stable or experience a slight uptick.

Trade Deal Boosts Investor Confidence

A positive signal for the Indian market comes from the news related to the India-US trade deal. Discussions between the US and India on the long-stalled trade talks have resumed. US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he would speak with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi soon to resolve trade barriers. Investors believe this news could strengthen market sentiment.

PM Modi also stated in his remarks that teams from both countries are working to finalize the talks as soon as possible. Therefore, it is expected that issues like tariffs and import duties will be resolved.

Nifty Outlook: Levels to Watch

The Nifty index has risen by approximately 1.6 percent in the last six trading sessions. Several factors are behind this:

  • Expectations of GST rate cuts
  • Speculation about interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve
  • Positive indications on the India-US trade deal

Market experts suggest that if Nifty crosses the 25,250–25,400 levels, it could see further strength. However, sustained support from the IT and banking sectors will be crucial for this. On the downside, Nifty's support has now shifted to the 24,650–24,750 range. This means that even if there is profit booking in the market, there could be buying opportunities at these levels.

Global Market Update

Globally, Asian markets showed a mixed trend.

  • China: The CSI 300 index rose by 0.13%. However, CPI (Consumer Price Index) in August decreased by 0.4%, whereas the estimate was only a 0.2% drop.
  • Hong Kong: The Hang Seng index fell by 1%.
  • South Korea: The KOSPI index increased by 0.57% and touched a record high.
  • Japan: The Nikkei index closed with a gain of 0.61%.

US markets also experienced fluctuations.

  • S&P 500: Closed at a record high with a gain of 0.3%.
  • Nasdaq: Recorded a marginal gain.
  • Dow Jones: Was down by 0.48%.
  • Oracle's shares surged by 36%, supporting the S&P 500.

US investors are now awaiting the CPI and jobless claims data for August. These figures could play a significant role in the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates next week.

Implications of Global Trends for Indian Investors

Global trends have a direct impact on the Indian market, especially when economic data from countries like the US and China are released. Declining inflation in China raises questions about global demand. Meanwhile, the US decision on interest rates is crucial for Indian investors as foreign institutional investment (FII inflows) depends on these signals.

IPO Updates: Public Issues to Watch

The IPO market is also experiencing a lot of activity today.

Mainboard IPOs:

  • Urban Company IPO
  • Shringar House of Mangalsutra Ltd. IPO
  • Dev Accelerator Ltd. IPO

All three of these IPOs will enter their second day of subscription today.

SME IPOs:

  • Airfloa Rail Technology Ltd. IPO will open for subscription today.
  • Taurian MPS, Karbonsteel Engineering, Nilachal Carbo Metalicks, and Krupalu Metals IPOs will close today.
  • Additionally, the Basis of Allotment for the Vashishtha Luxury Fashion Ltd. IPO will be finalized today, meaning investors will know how many shares they have been allotted.

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